These are two offenses headed in different directions. The Mariners just .198 average and 2.48 runs per 9 vs. RHP in their last 10 and they come in with a team 4.89 ERA over that time while the Twins are red hot with a .342 average scoring 8 runs per 9 vs. RHP 3.03 team ERA. The Twins at home outscore the Mariners road average vs. RHP by more than 2 runs and their ERA is nearly 1.5 better too. 67% of the Twins home wins have come by more than 1 run while the same holds true for road losses by the Mariners. Add in the way these two have been playing and the Twins success coming off a road trip where they are 47-19 in their last 66 home following a road trip of 7+ days and I think they'll score first off Doug Fister who has given up 15 ER in his last 3 road starts over 14.1 IP. Baker has been on and off good, but I think he's due for a quality start against a struggling offense he's got a 3.90 ERA at home. Fister last start vs. the Twins at home was 7.2 IP but 5 ER. Look for the Twins to get at them and shut the door with their bullpen that has been solid this year and just got better with getting Matt Capps.
Pelfrey started to show signs of breaking out of his horrible starts last time out. I believe he gets the contagious pitching from the Mets who have just been spectacular for a while. Arizona is now struggling just .210 average 2.31 runs per 9 in their last 5 and their bullpen has been awful again 8.62 ERA. Ian Kennedy who was solid against the Mets didn't go past the 5 inning mark last time which means big trouble as the Mets have started to hit. Dbacks just 2-8 in his 10 road starts. Dbacks are 14-41 in their last 55 as a road dog and 15-45 in their last 60 road vs. a RH starter.
